France Favored to Beat Morocco in World Cup Quarter-Finals
France are set to take on Morocco in the quarter-finals of the FIFA World Cup at Boston Stadium on Thursday. According to Opta’s supercomputer, which ran 25,000 simulations, France have a 61.7% chance of winning the match, while Morocco have a 16.2% chance of winning in 90 minutes, and a draw is at 22.1%.
The match is crucial for both teams, with France seeking to reach a third consecutive World Cup semi-final, a feat only achieved by Germany and Brazil in the modern era. Morocco, on the other hand, are looking to avenge their semi-final defeat to France in 2022.
Kylian Mbappe
playerIn terms of team news, Morocco’s Ismael Saibari is a doubt due to a thigh injury, while France’s Aurélien Tchouaméni and William Saliba are also uncertain due to groin and back problems, respectively. These injuries could significantly impact the teams’ strategies and performance.
France have been in impressive form, with a seven-game winning streak in competitive matches and 11 wins in their last 12 games. Kylian Mbappé has been instrumental in their success, scoring seven goals and providing two assists in the tournament so far. Michael Olise has also been a key player, becoming the first player to complete 10+ dribbles, create 10+ chances in open play, and make 10+ through balls in his debut World Cup since Brazil’s Zico in 1978.
Morocco, however, have their own strengths, with Brahim Díaz and Achraf Hakimi being key players in their attack. Since the start of the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations, Díaz has been directly involved in more goals than any other Morocco player, while Hakimi has created more chances than any other defender in the last two World Cups.
The head-to-head record between the two teams is in France’s favor, with three wins and two draws in their previous meetings. However, France should be wary of Morocco’s potential, as half of their World Cup defeats this century have been inflicted by African teams.
The match is set to be an exciting and closely contested encounter, with both teams having the potential to win. However, according to Opta’s supercomputer, a France victory is the most likely outcome.
France’s manager, Didier Deschamps, is set to equal Helmut Schön’s record of 25 World Cup games managed, and a win would be a significant milestone in his career. The match will take place on Thursday, July 9, at Boston Stadium, and will be a crucial step in the teams’ journey to the World Cup final.
The winner of this match will face either Spain or Belgium in the semi-finals, making the stakes even higher. With the talent and determination of both teams, this quarter-final match is sure to be an unforgettable encounter.
As the teams prepare to face each other, one thing is certain – only one can advance to the next round. The question on everyone’s mind is, will it be France or Morocco?