Norway vs England: Haaland and Kane Set to Decide Quarter-Final Fate
The 2026 FIFA World Cup quarter-final between Norway and England is set to be the most evenly matched tie of the round, with Opta’s supercomputer giving England a 49.5% chance of winning and a 61.7% chance of progressing to the semi-finals. The match, which will be played in Miami on Saturday, pits two of the world’s best strikers against each other, with Erling Haaland and Harry Kane headlining the Golden Boot race.
Norway vs England: Key Players and Squads
Norway’s Erling Haaland has scored seven goals in the tournament so far, with four of them being match-winners. He will be looking to continue his impressive form against an England side that has struggled to contain him in the past. England’s Harry Kane, on the other hand, has scored six goals in the tournament and will be looking to close the gap on Haaland in the Golden Boot race. Jude Bellingham, who has scored four goals in the tournament, will also be a key player for England.
Erling Haaland
playerThe two teams have met 12 times prior, with England winning eight of those matches. However, Norway have been in impressive form in the tournament so far, winning all but one of their matches. They will be looking to cause an upset against an England side that has struggled to perform at its best in the knockout stages of major tournaments.
Opta Supercomputer Predictions
Opta’s supercomputer has run 25,000 simulations of the match, with England winning 49.5% of the time and Norway winning 25.8% of the time. The supercomputer gives England a 61.7% chance of progressing to the semi-finals, with Norway having a 38.4% chance of progressing.
Harry Kane
player| Team | Win Percentage | Progression Percentage |
|---|---|---|
| England | 49.5% | 61.7% |
| Norway | 25.8% | 38.4% |
The match is set to be a closely contested affair, with both teams having the potential to win. However, England’s experience in the knockout stages of major tournaments may give them an edge over a Norway side that is making its debut in the quarter-finals.
Tactical metrics and system data sourced via Opta.